Monday, July 26, 2021

I found a private language!

I found a private language!

pretty exciting.

Wittgenstein's private language, something that should be impossible, a language with one-time value, words that cannot be communicated (not even to oneself).

So here it is:

Current data science in complex systems, such as biological systems.  

When John P. A. Ioannidis, MD, DSc says:

The Challenge of Reforming Nutritional Epidemiologic Research
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/article-abstract/2698337

In the Era of Precision Medicine and Big Data, Who Is Normal?https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/article-abstract/2679460

Why Most Published Research Findings Are False
https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.0020124

What he is saying is that these 'scientists' produced a private language.  Bad Data Science is a private language, it is meaningless to others, it is not reproducible (80%-100% of all papers are not reproducible!!).  The Bad Data Science created a moment in time when the words had value.  Moreover,  the private language can be employed as a weapon to convince others, by hiding behind a 'language' it appears to provide meaningful content. Yet it does not.

Things I am learning - scale dependent communities in realtime


This topic is complex, I am trying to understand the different scales and issues at each each scale....

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Discuss things I care about:
1. Scale dependent systems maximize freedom
- What is a scale dependent system
++ Family minhag vs. National (behavior manifests an inherent scale)
++ The Kotel (national) vs. a Shul (designation, geographic location, defines scale)
++ Type of garbage can, per street, per neighborhood, the smaller the scale the less friction, but the service may define a scale (a truck can only fit on a street of size X)

2. Communities are a key social structure for creating scale dependent society
- local interactions create inherent scale
++ geographic closeness creates local interactions
++ shared services

3. Experts. Data science
- Communities require shared language.
- Communities that are forced to adhere to values from other communities are undermined
- Authority for a community is undermined by experts from outside the community
- Expertise was defined by behavior, now it is defined by data analytics and marketing skill

4. 'Bad actors' - undermine communities
- people who violate scale
- wielding authority on a lower scale through marketing
- data has been weaponized, a very powerful marketing tool


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Distortions:
1. 'Killing grandma' 
- intent
- direct vs passive injury
++ prevention (grandma can take Ivermectin)
++ remedies available. responsibly for health. diabetes etc.

2. How to look at the data?
- Pandemic. Epidemic.
++ Flu, measles. Invading army
++ Airborne vs particle
++ Physical communicable disease, AIDS

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Is it measurable? Will defining a metric of success help? I am not sure. But here are two:
1. Measure illness
- hospitalization, excess deaths
++ Sweden wins

2. Measure freedom (or measure censorship)
- should be easy to measure censorship